DBRS Morningstar Assigns Provisional Rating to Auto lease-now 2023-1 AG

DBRS Ratings Limited (DBRS Morningstar) assigned a provisional rating of AAA (sf) to the Class A Notes (the Notes) to be issued by Auto lease-now 2023-1 AG (the Issuer). DBRS Morningstar did not assign a provisional rating to the Subordinated Loan also expected to be issued in this transaction.

The rating on the Class A Notes addresses the timely payment of scheduled interest and the ultimate repayment of principal by the final maturity date.

The provisional rating is based on information provided to DBRS Morningstar by the Issuer and its agents as of the date of this press release. The rating will be finalised upon a review of the final version of the transaction documents and of the relevant legal opinions. If the information therein were substantially different, DBRS Morningstar may assign a different final rating to the Class A Notes.

The transaction represents the issuance of Notes backed by a pool of approximately CHF 423 million of receivables related to auto leases granted by BANK-now AG (BANK-now; the originator or the seller), a wholly owned, indirect subsidiary of Credit Suisse AG. The underlying motor vehicles related to the auto leases consist of both new and used passenger and light-commercial vehicles, and motorcycles. BANK-now services the receivables.

DBRS Morningstar based its provisional rating on a review of the following analytical considerations:
-- The transaction capital structure, including the form and sufficiency of available credit enhancement;
-- Relevant credit enhancement in the form of subordination, a cash reserve, and excess spread;
-- The credit enhancement levels that are sufficient to support DBRS Morningstar's projected cumulative net loss and residual value (RV) loss assumptions under various stressed cash flow assumptions for the notes;
-- The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow assumptions and repay investors according to the terms under which they have invested;
-- BANK-now’s capabilities with regard to originations, underwriting, servicing, and its financial strength;
-- The transaction parties’ financial strength with regard to their respective roles;
-- The credit quality and industry diversification of the collateral and historical and projected performance of the seller’s portfolio;
-- The sovereign rating on the Swiss Confederation, currently at AAA with a Stable trend; and
-- The expected consistency of the transaction’s legal structure with DBRS Morningstar’s Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions methodology and the presence of legal opinions that are expected to address the true sale of the assets to the Issuer.

TRANSACTION STRUCTURE
The transaction includes a 33-month revolving period during which the Issuer shall purchase additional receivables. During this period, the transaction will be subject to receivables eligibility criteria and concentration limits designed to prevent a deterioration in portfolio quality. The transaction incorporates a single waterfall that outlines the allocation of the available distribution amount consisting of, inter alia, collections representing interest, principal, recoveries, the balance of the cash reserve, and income derived from authorised investments. The Notes and Subordinated Loan amortise sequentially.

The transaction also features a nonamortising cash reserve account that is available to the structure and equals to 1.4% of the aggregate outstanding balance of the purchased lease assets as of the initial cut-off date. The cash reserve provides liquidity support to the Notes and is available to pay senior transaction fees and interest payments on the Notes, while also ultimately providing credit enhancement to the Notes.

All underlying contracts and the Notes are both fixed rate. The transaction is, therefore, not exposed to interest rate risk.

COUNTERPARTIES
Credit Suisse (Schweiz) AG has been appointed as the Issuer’s account bank for the transaction. DBRS Morningstar privately rates Credit Suisse (Schweiz) AG, and has concluded that it meets DBRS Morningstar’s minimum criteria to act in such capacity. The transaction contains downgrade provisions relating to the account bank that are consistent with DBRS Morningstar’s legal criteria. The Issuer’s accounts include a collection account, a payment account, a cash reserve account, a note interest account, a deposit account, and a securities account.

ENVIRONMENTAL, SOCIAL, GOVERNANCE CONSIDERATIONS
There were no Environmental/Social/Governance factors that had a significant or relevant effect on the credit analysis.

A description of how DBRS Morningstar considers ESG factors within the DBRS Morningstar analytical framework can be found in the ‘DBRS Morningstar Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Risk Factors in Credit Ratings” at https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/396929/dbrs-morningstar-criteria-approach-to-environmental-social-and-governance-risk-factors-in-credit-ratings.

DBRS Morningstar analysed the transaction structure in Intex Dealmaker.

Notes:
All figures are in Swiss francs unless otherwise noted.

The principal methodology applicable to the rating is:
“Rating European Consumer and Commercial Asset-Backed Securitisations” (19 October 2022),
https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/404212/rating-european-consumer-and-commercial-asset-backed-securitisations.

Other methodologies referenced in this transaction are listed at the end of this press release.

DBRS Morningstar has applied the principal methodology consistently and conducted a review of the transaction in accordance with the principal methodology.

For a more detailed discussion of the sovereign risk impact on Structured Finance ratings, please refer to "Appendix C: The Impact of Sovereign Ratings on Other DBRS Morningstar Credit Ratings" of the "Global Methodology for Rating Sovereign Governments" at: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/401817/global-methodology-for-rating-sovereign-governments.

The DBRS Morningstar Sovereign group releases baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereigns. DBRS Morningstar analysis considered impacts consistent with the baseline scenarios as set forth in the following report: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/384482/baseline-macroeconomic-scenarios-application-to-credit-ratings

The sources of data and information used for this rating include BANK-now and its agents. DBRS Morningstar received the following data and information:
-- Static cumulative monthly, quarterly, and annual default data from January 2015 to December 2022, split into commercial new and used, and private new and used subsets.
-- Static cumulative monthly, quarterly, and annual recovery data from January 2015 to November 2022, split into commercial new and used, and private new and used subsets.
-- Static cumulative monthly, quarterly, and annual write off data from January 2015 to November 2022, split into commercial new and used, and private new and used subsets.
-- Dynamic monthly prepayment data from January 2015 to November 2022.
-- Annual distribution by credit grade and the average probability of default for each credit grade covering 2018 to 2022.
-- Dynamic monthly delinquency data from January 2015 to November 2022, split into total portfolio, private and commercial customers, and new and used subsets of these.
-- A loan level file containing all of BANK-now's leases.
-- A loan level pool cut and its related stratification tables as at 28 February 2023.
-- A theoretical amortisation profile of the selected pool.

DBRS Morningstar did not rely upon third-party due diligence in order to conduct its analysis.

DBRS Morningstar was supplied with one or more third-party assessments. However, this did not impact the rating analysis.

DBRS Morningstar considers the data and information available to it for the purposes of providing this rating to be of satisfactory quality.

DBRS Morningstar does not audit or independently verify the data or information it receives in connection with the rating process.

This rating concerns an expected-to-be issued new financial instrument. This is the first DBRS Morningstar rating on this financial instrument.

Information regarding DBRS Morningstar ratings, including definitions, policies, and methodologies, is available on www.dbrsmorningstar.com.

Sensitivity Analysis: To assess the impact of changing the transaction parameters on the rating, DBRS Morningstar considered the following stress scenarios as compared with the parameters used to determine the rating (the base case):

-- Expected default: 2.2%.
-- Expected recovery rate: 63.6%.
-- Loss given default (LGD): 61.8% for the AAA (sf) scenario.

Scenario 1: A 25% increase in the expected default and expected LGD.
Scenario 2: A 50% increase in the expected default and expected LGD.
Scenario 3: A 25% increase in the expected RV haircut.
Scenario 4: A 25% increase in the expected default and expected LGD and a 25% increase in the RV haircut.
Scenario 5: A 50% increase in the expected default and expected LGD and a 25% increase in the RV haircut.
Scenario 6: A 50% increase in the RV haircut.
Scenario 7: A 25% increase in the expected default and expected LGD and a 50% increase in the RV haircut.
Scenario 8: A 50% increase in the expected default and expected LGD and a 50% increase in the RV haircut.

DBRS Morningstar concludes that the expected ratings under the eight stress scenarios are:
-- Class A Notes: AA (sf), AA (sf), AA (high) (sf), AA (sf), AA (low) (sf), AA (sf), AA (low) (sf), A (high) (sf)

For further information on DBRS Morningstar historical default rates published by the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) in a central repository, see: https://cerep.esma.europa.eu/cerep-web/statistics/defaults.xhtml. For further information on DBRS Morningstar historical default rates published by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in a central repository, see https://data.fca.org.uk/#/ceres/craStats.

This rating is endorsed by DBRS Ratings GmbH for use in the European Union.

Lead Analyst: Miklos Halasz, Assistant Vice President
Rating Committee Chair: Christian Aufsatz, Managing Director
Initial Rating Date: 5 May 2023

DBRS Ratings Limited
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London EC3M 3BY United Kingdom
Tel. +44 (0) 20 7855 6600
Registered and incorporated under the laws of England and Wales: Company No. 7139960

The rating methodologies used in the analysis of this transaction can be found at: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/about/methodologies.

-- Rating European Consumer and Commercial Asset-Backed Securitisations (19 October 2022), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/404212/rating-european-consumer-and-commercial-asset-backed-securitisations.
-- Rating European Structured Finance Transactions Methodology (15 July 2022), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/399899/rating-european-structured-finance-transactions-methodology.
-- Legal Criteria for European Structured Finance Transactions (22 July 2022), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/400166/legal-criteria-for-european-structured-finance-transactions.
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Originators (15 September 2022), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/402773/operational-risk-assessment-for-european-structured-finance-originators.
-- Operational Risk Assessment for European Structured Finance Servicers (15 September 2022), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/402774/operational-risk-assessment-for-european-structured-finance-servicers.
-- DBRS Morningstar Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Risk Factors in Credit Ratings (17 May 2022), https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/396929/dbrs-morningstar-criteria-approach-to-environmental-social-and-governance-risk-factors-in-credit-ratings.

A description of how DBRS Morningstar analyses structured finance transactions and how the methodologies are collectively applied can be found at: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/278375.

For more information on this credit or on this industry, visit www.dbrsmorningstar.com or contact us at info@dbrsmorningstar.com.