DBRS Morningstar Finalizes Its Provisional Ratings on Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2021-4
AutoDBRS, Inc. (DBRS Morningstar) finalized its provisional ratings on the following classes of notes issued by Exeter Automobile Receivables Trust 2021-4 (EART 2021-4 or the Issuer):
-- $84,340,000 Class A-1 Notes at R-1 (high) (sf)
-- $209,000,000 Class A-2 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $196,370,000 Class A-3 Notes at AAA (sf)
-- $162,020,000 Class B Notes at AA (sf)
-- $140,590,000 Class C Notes at A (sf)
-- $135,880,000 Class D Notes at BBB (sf)
-- $98,260,000 Class E Notes at BB (sf)
-- $18,810,000 Class F Notes at B (sf)
The ratings are based on DBRS Morningstar’s review of the following analytical considerations:
(1) Transaction capital structure, ratings, and form and sufficiency of available credit enhancement.
-- Credit enhancement is in the form of overcollateralization, subordination, a fully funded reserve fund, and excess spread. Credit enhancement levels are sufficient to support the DBRS Morningstar-projected cumulative net loss (CNL) assumption under various stress scenarios.
(2) The ability of the transaction to withstand stressed cash flow assumptions and repay investors according to the terms in which they have invested. For this transaction, the ratings address the payment of timely interest on a monthly basis and principal by the legal final maturity date.
(3) The DBRS Morningstar CNL assumption is 19.00% based on the cut-off date pool composition.
-- The transaction assumptions consider DBRS Morningstar’s baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereign economies, available in its commentary “Baseline Macroeconomic Scenarios For Rated Sovereigns,” published on September 8, 2021. These baseline macroeconomic scenarios replace DBRS Morningstar’s moderate and adverse Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic scenarios, which were first published in April 2020. The baseline macroeconomic scenarios reflect the view that, although the coronavirus remains a risk to the outlook, uncertainty around the macroeconomic effects of the pandemic has gradually receded. Current median forecasts considered in the baseline macroeconomic scenarios incorporate some risks associated with further outbreaks, but remain fairly positive on recovery prospects given expectations of continued fiscal and monetary policy support. The policy response to the coronavirus pandemic may nonetheless bring other risks to the forefront in the coming months and years.
(4) The transaction parties’ capabilities with regard to originations, underwriting, and servicing.
-- DBRS Morningstar performed an operational review of Exeter and considers the entity to be an acceptable originator and servicer of subprime automobile loan contracts with an acceptable backup servicer.
-- The Exeter senior management team has considerable experience and a successful track record within the auto finance industry.
(4) The credit quality of the collateral and performance of Exeter’s auto loan portfolio.
-- As of the Cut-off Date (October 24, 2021), the collateral has a weighted-average (WA) seasoning of approximately two months and contains Exeter originations from Q1 2015 through Q4 2021, with approximately 97.5% consisting of loans originated since the beginning of 2020. The average remaining term of the collateral pool is approximately 69 months. The WA non-zero FICO score of the pool is 577.
(8) The legal structure and presence of legal opinions, which address the true sale of the assets to the Issuer, the nonconsolidation of the special-purpose vehicle with Exeter, that the trust has a valid first-priority security interest in the assets, and consistency with the DBRS Morningstar “Legal Criteria for U.S. Structured Finance.”
The rating on the Class A Notes reflects 54.15% of initial hard credit enhancement provided by subordinated notes in the pool (53.15%) and the reserve account (1.00%). The ratings on the Class B, C, D, E, and F Notes reflect 38.65%, 25.20%, 12.20%, 2.80%, and 1.00% of initial hard credit enhancement, respectively.
ESG CONSIDERATIONS
A description of how DBRS Morningstar considers ESG factors within the DBRS Morningstar analytical framework can be found in the DBRS Morningstar Criteria: Approach to Environmental, Social, and Governance Risk Factors in Credit Ratings at https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/373262.
Notes:
All figures are in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted.
The principal methodology is Rating U.S. Retail Auto Loan Securitizations (May 10, 2021), which can be found on dbrsmorningstar.com under Methodologies & Criteria.
The DBRS Morningstar Sovereign group releases baseline macroeconomic scenarios for rated sovereigns. DBRS Morningstar analysis considered impacts consistent with the baseline scenarios as set forth in the following report: https://www.dbrsmorningstar.com/research/384482/baseline-macroeconomic-scenarios-application-to-credit-ratings.
The rated entity or its related entities did participate in the rating process for this rating action. DBRS Morningstar had access to the accounts and other relevant internal documents of the rated entity or its related entities in connection with this rating action.
Please see the related appendix for additional information regarding the sensitivity of assumptions used in the rating process.
The full report providing additional analytical detail is available by clicking on the link under Related Documents below or by contacting us at info@dbrsmorningstar.com.
For more information on this credit or on this industry, visit www.dbrsmorningstar.com or contact us at info@dbrsmorningstar.com.
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